Content on this page may include affiliate links. If you click and sign up/place a wager, we may receive compensation at no cost to you.
Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55: Get $55 bonus for Commanders vs. Giants on Thursday Night Football
Get a $55 bonus with the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 for Giants vs. Commanders on Thursday Night Football.
The Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55 gives eligible new users a $55 bonus after completing $25 in trades. The New York Giants host the Washington Commanders on Thursday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium. J.J. McCarthy and Jayden Daniels are the featured quarterbacks in this NFC East rivalry. Get a $55 bonus when trading $25+ with the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55:
Kalshi's matchup chart gives the Giants a 56% chance to win, compared with 44% for the Commanders. New York to win is priced at $0.57 per share, while Washington is at $0.44. Get a $55 bonus when trading $25+ with the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55:
Giants vs. Commanders picks, TNF predictions
- Giants-Commanders: Giants to win by more than 2.5 points NO ($0.50 per share)
- J.J. McCarthy: Fewer than 19 completions ($0.49 per share)
- Jayden Daniels: 40+ rushing yards YES ($0.44 per share)
Giants to win by more than 2.5 points NO ($0.50 per share)
These teams have already played one game without a winner. Washington and New York finished in a 27-27 tie on October 11, when the Giants erased a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit. Washington has since slipped to 2-5-1. Its latest defeat was 20-13 against the Rams, despite Daniels throwing for 274 yards. Coach Dan Quinn's offense is converting just 31.1% of its third downs, the lowest rate in the NFL.
New York is 5-2-1 after beating Philadelphia 19-11, but its offense totaled 243 yards in that victory. McCarthy completed 12 of 19 passes, while the Giants' defense recorded seven sacks. Kalshi lists New York to win by more than 2.5 points at $0.51 Yes and $0.50 No. The No outcome includes a Washington victory, a tie or a loss by two or fewer points. SportsLine gives the Commanders a 56% chance to stay within that margin, with a projected 25-24 Washington win. Get a $55 bonus when trading $25+ with the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55:
J.J. McCarthy fewer than 19 completions ($0.49 per share)
Sunday's 19-11 win over Philadelphia didn't ask much of McCarthy through the air. He completed 12 of 19 passes for 127 yards, briefly leaving with a hip injury before returning. Jameis Winston handled the intervening series, finishing 6-for-8 for 71 yards and a touchdown. McCarthy completed 20 passes in New York's 27-21 win over Houston on October 25, after making 11 in a loss to New Orleans a week earlier. That's 43 completions across those three appearances.
Washington's secondary provides a different test. The Commanders allow 240 passing yards per game, ranking 30th in the league, while Malik Nabers leads the Giants with 648 receiving yards. McCarthy has finished with 12 or fewer completions in two of his three outings with the Giants, and Kalshi prices fewer than 19 McCarthy completions at $0.49 per share. Get a $55 bonus when trading $25+ with the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55:
Jayden Daniels 40+ rushing yards YES ($0.44 per share)
Daniels delivered his biggest rushing performance of 2026 against this opponent. In the October 11 tie, he carried nine times for 103 yards and scored on runs of 38 and 26 yards. He's gained 252 rushing yards in six appearances, the most on Washington's roster. The Giants allow 123.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 21st in the NFL entering Thursday. They also had five sacks in the first meeting, which didn't prevent Daniels from breaking free for two touchdowns.
His recent rushing totals have been lower. Daniels managed 16 yards on four carries against the Rams and 23 against Philadelphia. Earlier, he gained 10 against San Francisco. A left elbow issue is listed on Washington's injury report, but he was a full participant in Tuesday's practice. Kalshi lists 40-plus rushing yards at $0.44 Yes and $0.58 No. SportsLine's 48.3-yard rushing estimate tops the selected number. Get a $55 bonus when trading $25+ with the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE55:
Responsible Risk Management
It's a top priority for Kalshi to look out for its users. Kalshi equips every trader with accessible risk management tools that can be enabled at any given time, including risk management actions like trading breaks, voluntary opt-out, and a personalized funding cap.
Prediction markets are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) - an independent agency of the U.S. federal government.
Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Participation in prediction markets is subject to applicable eligibility requirements. Availability may be restricted or prohibited in certain jurisdictions and participants are responsible for ensuring their participation complies with applicable laws and regulations in their jurisdiction. Prediction market content is not intended for individuals located in jurisdictions where they are prohibited. See the NCPG's Financial Trader Health and Safety Initiative for more information. Concerned about your trading behavior? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

Written by Dustin Baker
View expert profile