The NFL saves one of its oldest rivalries for Sunday Night Football, when the Dallas Cowboys travel to MetLife Stadium for an 8:20 p.m. ET showdown with the New York Giants. Dallas and New York are both attempting to turn the page after losing seasons in 2025, and the primetime opener immediately supplies a measuring stick inside the NFC East. Get $25 in bonus trading credits after $25 in trades here with the Kalshi promo code SPORTSLINE:
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Below, we examine three Kalshi prediction markets for Giants vs. Cowboys, using information from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, along with relevant team and player trends. The three markets involve Dallas winning by 1-6 points, Cam Skattebo producing 70-plus rushing and receiving yards, and Javonte Williams scoring the game's first touchdown.
Kalshi prediction markets for NFL Week 1
Giants vs. Cowboys: Dallas to win by 1-6 points ($0.32 per share)
Giants vs. Cowboys: Cam Skattebo to record 70+ rushing and receiving yards ($0.53 per share)
Giants vs. Cowboys: Javonte Williams to score the game's first touchdown ($0.18 per share)
Giants vs. Cowboys 1-6 point victory margin prediction market
A Dallas victory by 1-6 points requires a rather specific Sunday-night script: the Cowboys must leave MetLife Stadium victorious without turning the game into a romp. Dak Prescott has plenty of experience navigating that. He authored four fourth-quarter comebacks and three game-winning drives last season, even though Dallas finished just 7-9-1. New York, meanwhile, begins a new chapter under John Harbaugh after a 4-13 campaign, with Jaxson Dart entering Year 2 as QB1. The Giants don't necessarily have to be the finished product in Week 1 for the season to trend up. They merely have to hang around while Dallas does enough late to escape. At $0.32 per share, Kalshi assigns that narrow Cowboys-victory scenario a considerably smaller probability than a generic Dallas win.
Cam Skattebo 70+ rushing and receiving yards prediction market
Cam Skattebo played only eight games as a rookie, but he wasn't really a subtle player. The bruising runner accumulated 410 rushing yards and another 207 through the air, good for 617 yards from those two categories, or 77.1 per appearance. He also caught 24 passes, which matters considerably for a 70-yard contract because Skattebo doesn't have to handle the entire assignment on the ground. The obvious variable is health. Skattebo's rookie season ended with a severe ankle injury, although he returned to football activities this offseason and enters 2026 as New York's lead back. The Giants may manage his workload early, but his rookie usage showed a player capable of accumulating yardage in more than one way. Using him against the Cowboys may be too irresistible.
Javonte Williams first touchdown prediction market
This market isn't especially concerned with whether Javonte Williams finishes the night with 60 yards or 160. It's about opportunity near the goal line, and Williams received plenty of it during his first season in Dallas. He rushed for 1,201 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2025, then added two more scores as a receiver, fully reclaiming his career as an RB1 in the heart of Texas. More importantly for this particular market, Williams handled 51 rushing attempts in the red zone and scored 10 times there, including nine touchdowns on carries originating inside the five-yard line. Dallas thought enough of the arrangement to bring him back as its clear No. 1 running back for 2026. Prescott has no shortage of alternatives when the Cowboys approach the end zone, but Williams's recent usage establishes a straightforward reason his name appears prominently in the game's first-touchdown market.
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