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Mon, Apr 2811:00 pm UTCAmerant Bank Arena
Track OnCBS Sports
Tampa Bay
Lightning
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L48-39
ATS44-43
O/U42-40-5
FINAL SCORE
2
-
4
Florida
Panthers
FLA
Last 5 ML
W/L62-42
ATS51-53
O/U54-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
48-39
Win /Loss
62-42
44-43
Spread
51-53
42-40-5
Over / Under
54-50-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TB @ FLA
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
TB @ FLA
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OVER / UNDER
TB @ FLA
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51%
PUBLIC
49%
MONEY
20%
PUBLIC
80%
MONEY
Over83%
PUBLIC
Under17%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderUnder 5.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+595
7-1 in Last 8 NHL O/U Picks
+868
22-12-1 in Last 35 FLA O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We're always apt to see empty-netters at the end of a game turning unders into overs in a snap (much like Caps-Canadiens on Sunday). Though two of the first three in this series have landed on the over side, there is still a defensive undertone to proceedings as we saw in the 2-0 Florida win in Game 2, with the lead expanded in the final moments on another empty-netter. The storyline in this series for us has been a recovery to normal form by Lighting GK Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has had issues in the playoffs the past two years but looking as good as ever across the past two games when stopping 54 of 56 Florida shots. Play Lightning-Panthers Under

Pick Made: Apr 28, 7:27 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineTampa Bay +126
LOSS
Unit1.0
+324
9-7 in Last 16 NHL Picks
+289
10-8-1 in Last 19 NHL ML Picks
+372
11-8 in Last 19 TB ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

No home edge in this Sunshine State series, with road teams winning the first three and outscoring the home sides 13-3! What sticks out as much as the big hits by Brayden Hagel and Matthew Tkachuk, and the banter between Paul Maurice and Jon Cooper, is Andrei Vasilevskiy finding himself in goal since Game One for Tampa Bay. Vasilevskiy, not sharp in the past two playoffs, has steered aside 54 of 56 shots (.964 saves) the past two games. As Cooper noted after Game 2, the Lightning was its own worst enemy at home, missing several golden chances that they usually convert, and we got a reminder on Saturday that Tampa Bay is still very much in this series. Play Lightning on Money Line

Pick Made: Apr 28, 7:24 pm UTC on Caesars

Best Prop Picks

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33 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for N. Kucherov, B. Hagel, B. Marchand, M. Tkachuk and 29 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning
Friday, May 02, 2025
Avatar
RW
Oliver Bjorkstrand
Lower BodyOut
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
LW
Brandon Hagel
Upper BodyOut
Florida Panthers
No Player Injuries

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
48-37, -487
49-36, -450
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
19-23, -725
27-15, -106
64%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
33%
7-14, -589
40-28, -669
58%
When Line was +114 to +144
MONEY LINE
When Line was -169 to -139
33%
4-8, -290
12-7, +95
63%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
31%
5-11, -480
25-14, -199
64%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
43%
14-18, -551
20-15, +305
57%
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
47%
9-10, -271
9-8, -10
52%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
58%
43-31, -339
42-29, -277
59%
vs FLA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
42%
3-4, -99
4-3, +51
57%
when Andrei Vasilevskiy starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Sergei Bobrovsky starts
59%
39-27, -196
35-22, +18
61%
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