The Bruins host the Leafs tonight with a chance to close out the series, and I expect them to do so. Toronto is just reeling, and even if Auston Matthews can go, there's no guarantee he'll last all game, which is an obvious massive loss. The draw here for me goes beyond the power play edge I see for Boston (though, that does seem likely to continue). The Bruins blew a 3-1 series lead last postseason after putting up the best regular season in NHL history. You best believe that's top of mind, and I expect a spirited Boston effort at home. Props wise, I like David Pastrnak goal at +120 and Jake DeBrusk to record a point at +100.

The Leafs have two big problems: They can't beat Boston goaltender Jeremy Swayman -- Linus Ullmark started the only Bruins loss, but we won't see him again this series barring injury -- and Auston Matthews is still dealing with an illness. Matthews didn't practice Monday but did travel to Boston. I'd expect him to play Tuesday, but the Leafs simply look broken in the playoffs. Again. The NHL's longest Cup drought unfortunately will continue, and I can almost guarantee you that Coach Sheldon Keefe will be fired.