ANALYSIS: I think this is essentially Game 7 for the Lightning, they need to win this game to have any chance at staying in this series. We know how good the Avs have been on the road in Game 3, but I will take my chances at a pick em on the back-to-back defending Stanley Cup champions anytime. The Lightning gave up pretty early in Game 2 so I don’t understand all the talk about the Avs just being that much better. They have definitely looked like the better team, but how many times have we already counted out the Lightning? They went down 2-0 on the road against the Rangers before rattling off four straight wins. I would also still take Andrei Vasilevskiy over Darcy Kuemper any day of the week. I like the value in the Lightning at home.