KC
PHI
Expert Picks
NFL | Miami 17 @ San Francisco 33 | 12/04 | 9:05 PM UTC
Miami +3.5
LOSS
ANALYSIS: It's concerning that the Dolphins could be without both starting offensive tackles; their backups don't inspire confidence. But Tua Tagovailoa gets rid of the ball so fast (2.5 seconds on average, third-fastest in the NFL), Miami can still put up points. And the Dolphins might not need to score in the high 20s because their defense is solid against the run. In addition, Bradley Chubb (7 sacks this season) has bolstered the pass rush. Miami is 8-0 this season when Tagovailoa finishes the game, and he's 9-4-1 ATS in his career as an underdog. Take the points.
Larry Hartstein
Senior Analyst
Season Splits
9-8, 9-8 ATS
15-5, 13-7 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
6-5
6-5
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
40%
2-3
3-2
60%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
2-2
5-4
56%
When Spread was +3 to +6
SPREAD
When Spread was -6 to -3
50%
2-2
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
1-1
3-1
75%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
67%
2-1
2-2
50%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
50%
2-2
4-2
67%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
50%
4-4
6-3
67%
vs SF
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
0%
0-0
0-0
0%