With Jameis Winston a go for this game, I'm willing to take a deep breath and back him as a road favorite. You beat the Bucs by throwing on them, but I'm not sure David Blough can do that as he continues to lose pieces around him, with Marvin Jones going on IR. Bo Scarbrough is also in doubt after missing practice Thursday, so good luck to the running game as well. Even without Mike Evans, Winston can run up the score on a banged-up Lions defense that doesn't get a lot of interceptions (five all year) and doesn't get stops on third downs (27th) or in red zone (29th). The Bucs are playing hard for Bruce Arians and will keep it up here.

Jameis Winston painted his masterpiece last week in a win against the Colts, and I don't mean it as a compliment, even if I enjoyed the hell out of it. As turnover prone as Winston is, it's difficult to trust him as a road favorite, even if its against a Detroit team led by David Blough. Blough has mostly struggled against the Bears and Vikings, but those two defenses are much more difficult on quarterbacks than Tampa's has been.

Lions rookie third-string QB David Blough will get his third straight start. He struggled last week at Minnesota one week after starting out strong on Thanksgiving. The Bears' and Vikings' defenses will make a lot of QBs look ordinary, but not the Buccaneers' defense. They allow everyone to score at will, which is why 10 of their last 11 games have gone over the total. The Lions have gone over in five of six home games. Over is the play.

Say what you want about Jameis Winston, but you can't say he's a quitter. Winston just keeps throwing, but we’ll see how efficient he can be without WR Mike Evans. On the flip side, the Bucs defense is facing a Lions team without its starter at quarterback, running back and tight end. There isn't going to be much resistance in the Motor City.