I wanted to like the Jets in this spot, but I'm not sure what they do well offensively, as the run game has disappeared in two of their last three games. The Jets have been great against the pass so far but middling against the run (16th in rush defense DVOA), and that's where Denver can take over a game, ranking second in rush offense DVOA and yards per carry. Vance Joseph won this coaching matchup last year in Denver in a 23-0 final despite having no run game and Trevor Siemian at QB. I think he can do it again here.

Vance Joseph is one of the three worst coaches in the league and he's 1-8 on the road. This is a short week with a long trip. The Jets' defense is good and will make the difference.

Jets QB Sam Darnold is not ready for prime time, or even Sunday afternoons -- not with the marginal cast on his offense. Darnold’s dazzling debut is in the distant past. Since, New York has managed 12, 17 and 12 points as the rookie’s passer rating has plummeted toward the bottom among league starters. Denver, having played Monday night and facing a cross-country trek, must engineer a hurried turn-around, and Broncos QB Case Keenum is no John Elway. But an above-average Denver defense will make young Darnold yearn for days gone by at USC.