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Green is on fire since the Rockets shifted their lineup, and their renewed hustle and ability to drive and penetrate at any time is leaving him with tremendous looks on the perimeter. He is over this in 4 straight games and has at least 9 three-point attempts in 4 straight and shooting just under 40% from 3 this month. Utah is 30th in the NBA this month defending the three-ball (42.2%), and the young gunner will want to atone for only scoring 7 points when Houston put up 127 on the Jazz earlier this season. He's averaging 3.6/G this month. Showing no mercy even when the Rockets build considerable leads as he builds his name. Love this match-up for Green
Even with his minutes getting manipulated in a blowout win vs Chicago he still put up another great statline. Hoping that him sitting basically entire 4th quarter there puts him in line for close to 30 mins tonight - more than enough time to shatter this vs the defensive-deficient Jazz. Kid is oozing confidence and winning above the rum. Will be able to drive and finish in the paint. Great chance to another double-double. Maximizing opportunity is smaller/faster starting lineup without their center. Last 4 games: 23 P+R in 26 mins; 35 in 32; 26 in 26; 31 in 28. Will light up the Jazz like he did the Wizards (twice over this easy this month).
Since the Rockets lost their center and became even more run-and-gun, VanVleet's assist totals are spiking as he facilitates even more. He has 11+ in three straight games, Rockets are getting a ton of scoring from inside easy dishes and three-point shots and VanVleet has 9+ assists in 7 of his last 8 games. Utah allowing 30.5 assists/game to opponents this month, 30th in the NBA. Dude could flirt with a triple double tonight actually, if game is close enough.
Houston will be geared up to run and gun again Saturday night and this total is not too high for them. They are over this in 3 of the last 4 games, becoming a higher pace and points team since losing their center for the season. They average 122/G during 7 game win streak and 120 is their average for month of March (2nd in NBA). Jazz allowing 121/G this month (29th). Utah has allowed 119+ in 6 of the last 8 games. Teams routinely scoring 8+ higher than their season average vs this depleted Jass roster this month. Rockets could go 130+ again here. Dropped 127 on a better version of the Jazz earlier this season.
To begin the season the Houston Rockets were playing at one of the slowest paces in the league in addition to playing strong defense, in addition to running their offense through Center Alperen Sengun. The Turkish big man suffered a season ending injury and since losing Sengun Houston has opted to go with a smaller, more athletic lineup and are playing much faster as a result. Utah on the other hand ranks 28th in Defensive Efficiency while playing at the sixth fastest pace in the league this season. Utah has had trouble scoring recently but have faced a brutal schedule. Look for these teams to get out in transition and I expect a high scoring environment.
Houston can match Jazz breakneck speed but with deeper bench. Utah falling apart and running out of gas late in games and dealing with major injuries. HOU 10-1 ATS last 11; those 10 wins have an average cover margin of 9.9! UTA 2-5 ATS last 7, failed to cover by 6 or more in 5 of those 5 losses. Jazz 4-8 ATS last 12 on road. Last six Jazz losses are by 10+ points. HOU +10.5 in March (2nd in NBA); UTA -8.8 (27th). HOU 3rd in net rating this month; Jazz are 28th (only WSH and TOR worse). Rockets been rolling to 130 lately; Jazz can't stop anyone. Houston fresh and rested and 24-10-1 ATS at home, 16-8-1 as a favorite