Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
No Draymond Green for the Dubs, who is arguably their most important player (not saying the best obviously) and easily their only potential Greek Freak-stopper. Klay Thompson will be limited to 20 minutes. Milwaukee has been playing like trash of late and misses Jrue Holiday, but this is a game the Bucks players will be amped up to play. The Bucks also get back Grayson Allen and George Hill out of protocols, so I'll lean them at home at (-105 instead of the usual -110 so why not using the moneyline to avoid a possible push).
I could go into a long explanation as to why I'm taking the Warriors here, and include a bunch of stats that you might not even be familiar with, or I can just cut to the chase. The Warriors are a better team than the Bucks right now. While Draymond Green won't be playing, I don't think that's as important in this matchup as Milwaukee being without Jrue Holiday is. Give me the Dubs.
The Warriors have lost three of their last four games with all three defeats coming on the road. For the season, they are only 9-9-1 ATS on the road. To make matters worse, they will have to play this game without Draymond Green (calf). The Bucks have their own issues, losing four of their last five games and having Jrue Holiday (ankle) being listed as doubtful. However, with Green being out, the Warriors have no one even remotely capable of slowing down Giannis Antetokounmpo. That could set up the Bucks to cover this small number.