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    Fri 01/14 | 12:30 AM UTC | Milwaukee
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Golden St. Warriors 50-44, 44-49 ATS
    GS +1-110
    GS -105
    Over 223.5-110
    Milwaukee Bucks 59-27, 43-37 ATS
    MIL -1-110
    MIL -115
    Under 223.5-110

    Expert Picks

    NBA | Golden St. 99 @ Milwaukee 118 | 01/14 | 12:30 AM UTC

    Milwaukee -1 -105

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: No Draymond Green for the Dubs, who is arguably their most important player (not saying the best obviously) and easily their only potential Greek Freak-stopper. Klay Thompson will be limited to 20 minutes. Milwaukee has been playing like trash of late and misses Jrue Holiday, but this is a game the Bucks players will be amped up to play. The Bucks also get back Grayson Allen and George Hill out of protocols, so I'll lean them at home at (-105 instead of the usual -110 so why not using the moneyline to avoid a possible push).

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +3489 106-56-1 IN LAST 163 NBA PICKS
    +90 2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS
    +90 2-1 IN LAST 3 MIL ATS PICKS
    +1680 32-12 on NBA Props Picks

    Season Splits

    50-44, 44-49 ATS
    59-27, 43-37 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    60%
    23-15-2
    19-23-1
    45%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    50%
    9-9-1
    7-13
    35%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    57%
    4-3
    16-16-1
    50%
    When Spread was -1 to +2.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -2.5 to +1
    50%
    1-1
    3-3
    50%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    57%
    4-3
    6-11
    35%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    78%
    11-3
    4-7
    36%
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 99 to 102 PPG
    60%
    21-14-2
    1-3
    25%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    62%
    20-12-2
    17-17-1
    50%
    vs MIL
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs GS
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%