The Blazers needed overtime to prevail in their must-win game against the Grizzlies before their 24-point comeback against Boston on Sunday came up short. Although I'm still not big on Houston's long-term prospects, the Rockets have looked good since the return and are coming off one of their best performances of the season in a comeback win over the Bucks. They scored 30 points off 23 forced turnovers in that win. Houston is playing well and holds a stylistic edge over a Portland team that will likely engage in a wide-open affair.

Portland has welcomed the return of center Jusuf Nurkic. The 7-footer scores (15+ppg), rebounds (10+), passes (3+ assists per game) and blocks shots (1.8 per game), The return of Zach Collins and the addition of Carmelo Anthony also have provided a boost. Portland's power rating has improved five points from March to the bubble. The Blazers are playing for the No. 8 seed, while the Rockets could be in a letdown spot.

If you follow me, you know I have faded Memphis and rolled with Houston. The Rockets are 2-0 in the bubble so far, and their style of play only will be enhanced against a team that wants to play a similar way. James Harden is the most unstoppable offensive player in the NBA, and no one on the Trail Blazers can stick him. Stay hot with the Rockets.

Both teams are explosive, but the Trail Blazers will try to keep the pace slower with Jusuf Nurkic back. This total is falling and I agree with the move. Go Under.