Value lies with the Atlanta Hawks as heavy road underdogs Tuesday in Toronto. The Raptors had one day of rest between back-to-back games. They won both of those matchups including a victory Sunday over the Indiana Pacers with Kawhi Leonard resting. Still grab the value on the Hawks who have lost their last three road games by an average of 19 points.

Both these teams have trended toward the Over this season. But that reverses in a big way according to my numbers. My computer projections don't see these teams combining to score anywhere near the current total. The Under is nailed in a whopping 75 percent of simulations.