The Spurs have been one of the better covering home teams in the NBA at 14-6 and while Kawhi Leonard may think he's got something to prove in his first visit to his old club, the Spurs home edge will be the difference. The Spurs have actually been good everywhere lately going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games. Spurs get the win.

The Spurs are 15-5 at home and I see them rolling in this huge matchup, which is generating a ton of interest owing to Kawhi Leonard's return to San Antonio. In my simulations, San Antonio is covering 66 percent of the time. Lay the small number.