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DraftKings. Noah Cameron is under this line in 10/16 starts this season. This includes each of his last four outings, in which he’s pitched to a 9.00 ERA, while allowing a gaudy 2.22 WHIP. He’ll face off against the Phillies who’ve been hot of late (.797 OPS over the last week). Facing a lefty is the weaker side of the platoon for the Phillies, typically, but Cameron has struggled against southpaws this season (.873 OPS allowed) which should bode well for Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper. Cameron has also been torched after the first time through the order, and worse at home (5.44 ERA, 8.5% walk rate, under this line in 7/9 starts).
Worth at least 0.5u... We get a Monday matinee in KC, and I'll back Cristopher Sanchez over Noah Cameron. I'm seeing some value on the Phillies to lead after five innings at this price, despite their offense being worse against lefties. Noah Cameron wasn't great even before the Rays crushed him over the previous two starts and the Phillies were actually improving vs. lefties early in June before a few rough games of late. JT Realmuto hit a home run on Saturday, then sat yesterday, so he should be back in there and I like the lineup better with him behind the plate. It's a slight edge in terms of offensive splits for KC, but I'd rather take the far better pitcher.
Scoring runs isn't exactly a strength of the Royals and on Monday they're up against Christopher Sanchez. Sanchez hasn't been great over his last two road starts, but I expect that to change against the Royals bats. As for the Phillies bats, they should be just fine against Noah Cameron who has been particularly bad over his last four starts. Expect the Phillies to cash in on Cameron and bounce back after Sunday's loss.
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