The Dodgers have won nine straight meetings against the Mariners, and they meet tonight on the last weekend of the regular season, with Emmett Sheehan pitching against George Kirby, and I think we have a total too low at 7. Kirby has won his last three starts, and his last five starts have all gone over. That's the Mariner beefy bats in action, and the Dodgers bats came out in Arizona over the last week. These are two of the top three home run hitting teams. The Mariners have gone over 88 times this season, which leads MLB cashing 56.5% of the time. This total should be more like 9. Just the over.

There are limitation questions around just about every pitcher this weekend, so I want to use a bit of caution here, but Emmet Sheehan projects for well over a 6th strikeout here. Thanks to a 43% whiff rate slider, Sheehan has registered a 17% swinging rate vs. lefties and 20% vs. righties. He won’t pitch again until next week out of the bullpen at best, so there shouldn’t be much in the way of limitations prior to five innings. Against a Seattle lineup that has struggled to avoid strikeouts on the slider, even if we get only five innings, he would need to be just one strikeout better than a K per inning to go over this line.

I would expect the Dodgers to rest guys -- maybe even Shohei -- after clinching the NL West on Thursday night and locking themselves into the No. 3 seed in the playoffs. Seattle has won the AL West but still could be the AL's top seed so it should keep playing all the key guys to get home-field advantage throughout. At least let's hope so. The M's have won seven straight overall and 11 in a row at home and you don't really want to turn that off now. George Kirby has a 3.36 home ERA.