Mark Vientos has been streaky to start the season but has managed to hit 2 home runs in his last 5 games. Jake Irvin, despite allowing only 12 earned runs this season, has been prone to giving up home runs, with 6 allowed so far this season and 29 last year. Vientos is 0-9 in his career against Irvin, but he has made solid contact, with just 1 strikeout in those 9 at-bats. The wind is blowing out, and the weather is warm, creating a favorable environment for home runs. The game is ranked an 8 out of 10 on the home run index, so if Vientos connects, we expect it to carry. We set the line at +395 for him to hit a HR.