This is a pivotal game 3 in the divisional series and it's expected to be 69°, 11% chance of precipitation, and a 10-mile-an-hour wind blowing across the diamond from left to right. The weather should not be an issue good or bad for the hitters and Aaron Nola’s pitching which makes me think over right away. Plus the fact that the Phillies have gone over eight straight games. They were all situational hitting. Bryce Harper has woken up because it's the playoffs and Nick Castellanos is hitting the ball well. We also have a Philadelphia bullpen that is miserable and the Mets will be able to hit it. This total is 7 which seems absurd. Just the over.

Philly starter Aaron Nola was rather mediocre in the final month of the regular season with a 4.91 ERA and there also might be the rust factor as he hasn't pitched in a game since Sept. 29. Nola had a 4.05 ERA in two starts vs. New York. Pete Alonso and Starling Marte have terrific career splits off him. New York's Sean Manaea had two quality starts in three outings this year against the Phils. The Mets haven't played a home game since Sept. 22 and were Top NY setup men Phil Maton and Ryne Stanek were both unavailable for Game 2 given heavy recent workloads but will be ready for tonight.