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Thu, Oct 0311:08 pm UTCAmerican Family Field
66 F
New York
Mets
NYM
Last 5 ML
W/L96-79
ATS92-80
O/U93-77-5
FINAL SCORE
4
-
2
Milwaukee
Brewers
MIL
Last 5 ML
W/L94-71
ATS85-78
O/U83-70-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
96-79
Win /Loss
94-71
92-80
Spread
85-78
93-77-5
Over / Under
83-70-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYM @ MIL
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MONEYLINE
NYM @ MIL
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OVER / UNDER
NYM @ MIL
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22%
PUBLIC
78%
MONEY
25%
PUBLIC
75%
MONEY
Over75%
PUBLIC
Under25%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total HitsPete Alonso Over 0.5 Total Hits -161
WIN
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

PA has been bad. But this is a great spot for him to turn it. Prolly won’t walk and has been moved UP in the lineup

Pick Made: Oct 03, 10:53 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineN.Y. Mets +110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1522
61-43-3 Last 107 MLB
+673
12-6 Last 18 MLB ML
+240
8-5 Last 13 MLB ML
Bob's Analysis:

Jose Quintana owns a 3.86 road ERA. But, in September, he owned a 0.72 ERA in four starts. His last start was against this Brewers team, allowing two runs in 4.1 innings. Tobias Myers owns a 2.86 home ERA and shut out New York in the same game Quintana started. The Mets have had 15 hits and nine walks in the first two games and will need to capitalize with runners in scoring position. The public is heavily on Milwaukee and the line keeps creeping in the Mets favor.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 10:00 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineMilwaukee -130
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3381
93-55 Last 148 MLB ML
+168
35-26 Last 61 MLB ML
Zack's Analysis:

In any postseason sport involving a series, leaving the door open usually comes back to bite a team. That is the case for the New York Mets who unraveled in the eighth inning yesterday. Now the Brewers have Tobias Myers on the mound who is fresh. Over his last two regular season starts he threw just 49 and 56 pitches. Take the Brewers to close out the Mets and advance to the NLDS.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 4:12 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineMilwaukee -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+395
43-39 Last 82 MLB
+308
19-15 Last 34 MLB ML
+371
10-5 Last 15 MLB ML
Matt's Analysis:

I like the way the Brewers pitching sets up better here with Tobias Myers over Jose Quintana and then both Devin Williams and Trevor Megill looking good in Game 2 without being overworked. The Mets were running on fumes and vibes, but didn't score after the second inning in Game 2 and Francisco Lindor is clearly compromised. The Brewers saved their season in the eighth inning in Game 2 and will stay alive to the next round now.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 3:03 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadN.Y. Mets +1 -149
WIN
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 Last 18 MLB
+2
9-6 Last 15 MLB ATS
+506.5
26-13-1 Last 40 MLB ATS
Matt's Analysis:

I don't like either of these franchises so don't much care which advances (well, I'll never root for a New York team to succeed in anything), although it certainly would be better theater to see Mets-Phillies than Brewers-Phils in the NLDS. If this were the NBA, I might say the "fix" is in for big-market NY. New York's bullpen has to be completely fried by this point but just something about this team. Tonight's starter Jose Quintana had a 0.72 ERA in September and has playoff experience, while Brewers rookie Tobias Myers has none (he could follow an opener). I simply expect a one-run game either way.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 12:20 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineN.Y. Mets +105
WIN
Unit1.0
+2163
93-76 Last 169 MLB ML
+593
14-8 Last 22 MLB ML
Bruce's Analysis:

We are wondering if Phil Maton even shows up tonight for the Mets in their bullpen after giving up a pair of homers in the 8th inning on Wednesday and sidetracking the Mets from closing out this best-of-three in the wildcard round. But the pitching matchup still looks good for New York tonight because of Jose Quintana, who hadn't given up a run in three September starts before facing these same Brewers on this same field last Saturday and allowing a pair of runs, which upped his ERA for the month to....0.72. Meanwhile, Pat Murphy has had Tobias Myers on a shorter leash lately, as his more-recent starts have mostly been around four innings. Play Mets on Money Line

Pick Made: Oct 03, 6:40 am UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

New York Mets
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1B
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2B
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CF
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Milwaukee Brewers
Sunday, Jun 21, 2026
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ElbowIl
Thursday, Jun 18, 2026
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Brandon Sproat
HamstringProbable
Monday, Jun 15, 2026
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OF
Brandon Lockridge
KneeIl
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SP
Coleman Crow
ForearmIl
Tuesday, Jun 09, 2026
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Brian Fitzpatrick
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