Freddy Peralta owns a 4.04 home ERA and only had one start against New York, allowing one run in six innings. The Mets have only been hitting .208 with a.604 OPS against righties on the road over the last month. Luis Severino allowed three runs to the Brewers in five innings in his only start against Milwaukee, but they come into this hitting .186 right a .586 OPS against righties at home. The under is 4-2 between these two in the regular series.

Familiar surroundings for the Mets, who just left Milwaukee on Sunday night., They'll hope to pick up where they left off on Sunday when stopping the Brew Crew 5-0 behind seven shutout innings from David Peterson. Riding on adrenaline and owning MVP challenger Francisco Lindor, Carlos Mendoza is also realistic about starter Luis Severino, who hasn't been especially sharp in his last three starts, but is rested and hasn't pitched in a week. The deep Mets bullpen is ready if Mendoza should call. Meanwhile, Freddy Peralta has been capped at roughly five innings by Milwaukee in recent starts so Pat Murphy is already planning his rotation of relievers. The Mets closed their season on a 65-38 run. Play Mets on Money Line

I know everyone is worried about the Mets being compromised, but they've got Luis Severino to start the game and the offense has all kinds of good vibes going. Once they see Freddy Peralta a second time, they'll get to him. I'm riding the wave here at good value.