Sugar House is our only book with not 17.5 and that's a huge difference in my opinion -- and this clearly is going to flip soon at this price. Zach Eflin makes his Baltimore debut after being traded from the Rays but has gone six full only three times in the past nine and once in the past four. He has a 6.23 ERA in 17.1 innings vs. the Jays this season. He has also really struggled on the road -- and I guess we can consider this a road start in a way since he obviously has never pitched for the home team at Camden Yards. The SL Model has Eflin at 5.5 innings. I'd guess six but not out for the seventh.