Nick Lodolo has been excellent after getting a late start on the season, but this will be his toughest matchup to date. The Orioles pound lefties to the tune of a 133 OPS+, and the wind is expected to be blowing out at Great American Ball Park. That could result in an approach from Lodolo where he's trying to do too much out of the zone and posts a line similar to his one mediocre outlier this season, when he walked three against Philly and lasted just five innings despite throwing 98 pitches. I'll trust Baltimore's offense to get him out early today.

Dean Kremer has struggled so far this season and has failed to record six strikeouts in 4/6 starts. Kremer's 9.0% Swinging Strike Percentage is lower than his career average of 9.7%. He gets a plus matchup against a Reds team that strikes out a lot, however that is somewhat neutralized by this game being in a difficult pitching environment in Cincinnati.