The Blue Jays offense has yet to hit its stride, but one batter performing well is Justin Turner, who has his highest batting average since 2020 and his highest slugging percentage since 2018. He's crushed lefties this year (9 of 18 with five doubles and a homer) and crushed Patrick Corbin specifically in his career (.410/.477/.667 with six extra-base hits in 44 plate appearances). He posted a .900 OPS last year against lefties as well in a larger sample size. Corbin is the type of pitcher we like to pick on anyway (6.82 ERA, 17 XBHs surrendered in 31.2 innings), and Turner is the obvious way to do that today.

Where would the Jays be without JT? Probably 5 or 6 games under .500. He is the only big bat going, and he knows it, and I suspect he hunts the longball tonight vs Patrick Corbin. Turner owns him (who doesn't?) with 2 HR and a 1.144 OPS vs him in 39 career ABs. Turner has 8 RBIs vs him and though they have not faced each other in a few years, JT has hits off him in 4 of his last 5 plate appearances.

The Nats are a great story and all, but Patrick Corbin is still awful and they couldn't score at all this week at Texas and the lineup has some definitely holes in it. Kikuchi is nasty from the left side and WSH is 23rd in OPS and 24th in Avg vs southpaws this season. Nats haven't seen him at all - advantage pitcher. Justin Turner owns Corbin. Corbin allowed 4 ER or more in 5 of 6 starts; Nats lost 4 of his 6 starts by 2+ runs.