Bryce Harper is back from the paternity list and ace Zack Wheeler is on the hill for the Phillies. Anytime I can play the Phils' first five and avoid their still very shaky bullpen is just fine by me. Wheeler took a no-hitter into the eighth inning last time out but that almost doesn't count because it was against the White Sox. He has a 2.98 ERA career vs. the Reds.

I have some issues with the Phillies bullpen and games can get turned around quickly in this tiny stadium and the Reds have some mashers, but I like the chasm in quality between these starting pitchers and scratching out a few early runs can cash for us here. Wheeler has been special, allowing a .157/.208/.213 slashline in innings 1-5 with a 1.44 ERA. I don't think the Reds starter can keep pace