Jared Jones has pitched very well for Pittsburgh thus far. However, the Pirates offense has not provided him with run support. Pittsburgh has lost its last six games while the Brewers are 10-2 on the road thus far. Milwaukee has been hitting .296 with a .823 OPS on the road as compared to the Pirates .235 with a .641 OPS at home. Even if the game is close with the starters, the Pirates bullpen has struggled closing out games.

In the past ten games, Willy Adames has been a machine, securing at least one hit in 8 of those matchups. If we zoom in even further, he's been averaging a jaw-dropping 1.8 hits per game over the last five games, hitting over 0.5 hits in each. Pirates' starter Jared Jones has issued just two walks in 23 innings, so Adames will get something to hit. The Pirates available bullpen has an ERA of 4.98. Willy is slated to bat third, so getting at least one hit in at least four plate appearances seems likely. This line should be closer to -180.

Like a stranded barge on the Monongahela, the Pirates offense has stopped cold, scoring just nine times across a current six-game skid that makes the quick Pittsburgh break from the gate seem a long way back in the rear-view mirror. Though the pitching matchup has possibilities tonight with rookie Jared Jones (3.13 ERA) impressing, the Brewers hit PNC Park very hot on a four-game win streak that includes a pair of shutout wins. To do the same might be asking much of Monday starter Joe Ross, but Pat Murphy's deep bullpen has been flawless in the past week. Besides, laying any price with a team in the midst of a six-game slump doesn't seem good business. Play Brewers on Money Line