Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
CJ Abrams has been on an absolute tear for the Nats this season, securing 2+ bases in 10 of his 15 games with 10 of his 18 hits going for extra bases. The matchup at first glance looks tough with Justin Verlander making his season debut, but he was knocked around in two rehab starts in the minors, giving up six extra-base hits in one of them. Abrams also went 2 for 3 against Verlander last year when the latter was pitching much better and the former hadn't flashed as much power. We have multiple ways to hitting this plus-odds prop.
I believe the market is inflated to the Astros due to Justin Verlander making his debut. The 41-year-old gave up six earned run with six extra-base hits in just three innings in his first rehab start at Triple-A, then allowed another five earned runs in four innings at Double-A six days ago. While the Nats don't have the strongest offense, they should be able to take advantage of Verlander at this point of his delayed ramp-up for the season. The Astros have just six wins on the year and just two in their last nine games. With MacKenzie Gore coming off a gem on the other side, this is good value on the home team.
The Houston Astros have a minuscule K rate of just 14.8% against opposing southpaws this season, which is by far the lowest K rate in the majors. This does not bode well for Mackenzie Gore who has happened to eclipse this line in all three of his starts, however he has been running hot on strikeouts and is due for some regression. The Astros are the toughest possible matchup for opposing southpaws and Houston also is ranked 3rd in OPS versus lefties as well.