Simulation Picks

SPREAD

PHI @ WAS

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MONEYLINE

PHI @ WAS

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OVER / UNDER

PHI @ WAS

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61%

PUBLIC

39%

MONEY

88%

PUBLIC

12%

MONEY

Over44%

PUBLIC

Under56%

Over

MONEY

Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Total BasesAlec Bohm Over 1.5 Total Bases +102

LOSS

Unit1.0

Grace Remington

Amazing Grace

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Grace's Analysis:

Alec Bohm's splits are significantly better against southpaws with a .376 wOBA vs LHP compared to .295 vs RHP, and a 138 wRC+ vs LHP compared to 88 vs RHP. He also strikes out less (16%) and walks more. MacKenzie Gore hasn't lived up to expectations in his three seasons in the Majors. His main problem is his fastball, which he throws 50% of the time. It had a .518 xSLG last season.

Pick Made: Apr 07, 4:46 pm UTC

Total Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Under 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -127

WIN

Unit1.5

Alex Selesnick

PropStarz

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+2370.5

55-26 in Last 81 MLB Player Props Picks

Alex's Analysis:

This is a big number for Mackenzie Gore who was held under 18/27 starts last season or 67% of his starts. So far this season the Phillies are striking out 8.8 times per game, which is right around the league average. The Phillies are very familiar with Gore who faced him 3x last season and 5x over the course of Gore's career. He has never eclipsed six Ks against Philadelphia and I ultimately expect this line to close at 5.5. Grab this now.

Pick Made: Apr 07, 4:45 am UTC