Baltimore pitcher Kyle Gibson has allowed just seven hits and one earned run over his past two starts. Cleveland's offense ranks dead last versus right-handed pitching. Guardians right-hander Cal Quantrill has really struggled in 2023, with just three out of 10 above-average starts. He also is striking out just five batters per nine innings, and the Baltimore lineup makes solid contact. Take the value on the Orioles.

Monday, the Cleveland Guardians handed the Baltimore Orioles their third shutout home loss of the season. It marked the fifth straight game that the Orioles have scored three runs or less. With the Orioles in a mini-slump expect Cal Quantrill of the Guardians to bounce back from his worst start of the season. On the other side Kyle Gibson has been outstanding allowing just one run over his last two starts. Take the under.

The Orioles added injury to insult yesterday when Cedric Mullins left the loss to Cleveland with a groin injury. That'll make Tuesday's game even harder. The Guardians are covering in 71% of my model's simulations, making the juice worth the squeeze.