Expert Picks
MLB | Toronto 3 @ Minnesota 1 | 05/27 | 12:10 AM UTC
Minnesota +1.5 -120
LOSS
ANALYSIS: I get why Minnesota is an underdog in its own building. The AL Central doesn't inspire confidence, to say the least. But the Blue Jays are all out of sorts right now. Toronto is 8-15 in May. When the Jays and their coaching staff aren't busy throwing tantrums, they're losing ballgames. Last night's loss resulted in a players-only meeting. When the vibes are this bad, and when my model's got the Twins covering in 64% of its simulations? Yes please.
Stephen Oh
Data Scientist
Season Splits
32-27, -239 ML
31-28, -269 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
51%
26-25, -506
26-24, -366
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
13-16, -541
15-10, -12
60%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
51%
18-17, -572
5-12, -537
29%
When Line was -162 to -132
MONEY LINE
When Line was +111 to +141
25%
3-9, -692
3-6, -256
33%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
47%
8-9, -372
1-3, -186
25%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
20%
1-4, -306
7-8, -229
46%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
65%
13-7, +471
14-18, -862
43%
3rd game without a day off
REST
After a Day Off
47%
18-20, -611
3-4, -200
42%
vs MIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TOR
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
when Kevin Gausman starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Louie Varland starts
40%
4-6, -410
3-2, +132
60%