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    Sat 05/27 | 12:10 AM UTC | Minneapolis
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Toronto Blue Jays 32-27, -239 ML
    TOR -1.5+110
    TOR -155
    Over 7.5-120
    Minnesota Twins 31-28, -269 ML
    MIN +1.5-130
    MIN +130
    Under 7.5+100

    Expert Picks

    MLB | Toronto 3 @ Minnesota 1 | 05/27 | 12:10 AM UTC

    Minnesota +1.5 -120

    LOSS

    ANALYSIS: I get why Minnesota is an underdog in its own building. The AL Central doesn't inspire confidence, to say the least. But the Blue Jays are all out of sorts right now. Toronto is 8-15 in May. When the Jays and their coaching staff aren't busy throwing tantrums, they're losing ballgames. Last night's loss resulted in a players-only meeting. When the vibes are this bad, and when my model's got the Twins covering in 64% of its simulations? Yes please.

    author-image

    Stephen Oh

    Data Scientist
    +1230 31-15 IN LAST 46 MLB PICKS
    +520 17-8 IN LAST 25 MLB ATS PICKS
    +490 10-4 IN LAST 14 TOR ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    32-27, -239 ML
    31-28, -269 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    51%
    26-25, -506
    26-24, -366
    52%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    44%
    13-16, -541
    15-10, -12
    60%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or Even
    51%
    18-17, -572
    5-12, -537
    29%
    When Line was -162 to -132
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was +111 to +141
    25%
    3-9, -692
    3-6, -256
    33%
    As Road Favorite
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Underdog
    47%
    8-9, -372
    1-3, -186
    25%
    vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
    20%
    1-4, -306
    7-8, -229
    46%
    vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
    65%
    13-7, +471
    14-18, -862
    43%
    3rd game without a day off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    47%
    18-20, -611
    3-4, -200
    42%
    vs MIN
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs TOR
    0%
    0-0, 0
    0-0, 0
    0%
    when Kevin Gausman starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Louie Varland starts
    40%
    4-6, -410
    3-2, +132
    60%