Expert Picks
MLB | Boston 7 @ Arizona 2 | 05/27 | 1:40 AM UTC
Arizona +1.5 -155
LOSS
ANALYSIS: No Rafael Devers or Jarren Duran for the Red Sox so that's a fair chunk of offense missing. Pitcher Chris Sale has a 6.00 ERA on the road this year. Granted, he has been better of late, but we only need a one-run loss and Arizona is 5-1 in its past six at home vs. a lefty. The Sox enter having dropped four straight.
Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Season Splits
31-30, +218 ML
36-25, +967 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
26-24, +419
29-21, +901
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
11-13, -2
14-10, +240
58%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
52%
10-9, -132
17-13, +948
56%
When Line was -141 to -111
MONEY LINE
When Line was -109 to +121
53%
7-6, -37
7-3, +438
70%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
3-3, -79
6-6, +156
50%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
54%
12-10, +462
6-8, -141
42%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
53%
15-13, +269
17-13, +244
56%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
42%
3-4, -135
2-5, -366
28%
vs ARI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
when Chris Sale starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Brandon Pfaadt starts
66%
6-3, +246
3-1, +253
75%