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Sun 11/06 | 12:03 AM UTC | Houston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Philadelphia Phillies 98-80, +4 ML
PHI +1.5-178
PHI +130
Over 7+105
Houston Astros 116-58, +1610 ML
HOU -1.5+150
HOU -155
Under 7-125

Expert Picks

MLB | Philadelphia 1 @ Houston 4 | 11/06 | 12:03 AM UTC

Houston -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: No reason to wait until Saturday, although it's possible Yuli Gurriel can't play for Houston. I'd love to see a Game 7 but by all accounts Zack Wheeler's velocity is way down and the Phillies fear he's wearing down -- hopeful extra rest will fix things temporarily. Obviously it will be all hands on deck if Wheeler is struggling. Wheeler spent a month on the IL with right forearm tendinitis before returning on Sept. 21 so maybe that's back. We have no concerns on Houston's Framber Valdez, who has a 1.42 ERA in these playoffs and held the Phils to one run over 6.1 in Game 2. I may call Mattress Mack for a loan if/when the Stros finish things off.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+642 38-21 IN LAST 59 HOU ML PICKS

Season Splits

98-80, +4 ML
116-58, +1610 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
98-80, +4
116-58, +1610
66%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
45-44, -21
60-27, +411
69%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
48%
34-36, +617
102-45, +1318
69%
When Line was +112 to +142
MONEY LINE
When Line was -164 to -134
57%
15-11, +753
31-11, +985
73%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
47%
23-25, +423
59-25, +493
70%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
50%
44-44, +211
37-14, +1633
72%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
39%
23-35, -675
26-16, +15
61%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
63%
17-10, +647
20-7, +673
74%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PHI
37%
3-5, -153
5-3, +19
62%
when Zack Wheeler starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Framber Valdez starts
54%
17-14, -201
24-10, +373
70%