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    Sun 11/06 | 12:03 AM UTC | Houston
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Philadelphia Phillies 29-32, -887 ML
    PHI +1.5-178
    PHI +130
    Over 7+105
    Houston Astros 36-25, +103 ML
    HOU -1.5+150
    HOU -155
    Under 7-125

    Expert Picks

    MLB | Philadelphia 1 @ Houston 4 | 11/06 | 12:03 AM UTC

    Houston -145

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: No reason to wait until Saturday, although it's possible Yuli Gurriel can't play for Houston. I'd love to see a Game 7 but by all accounts Zack Wheeler's velocity is way down and the Phillies fear he's wearing down -- hopeful extra rest will fix things temporarily. Obviously it will be all hands on deck if Wheeler is struggling. Wheeler spent a month on the IL with right forearm tendinitis before returning on Sept. 21 so maybe that's back. We have no concerns on Houston's Framber Valdez, who has a 1.42 ERA in these playoffs and held the Phils to one run over 6.1 in Game 2. I may call Mattress Mack for a loan if/when the Stros finish things off.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +990 16-4 IN LAST 20 MLB ML PICKS
    +581 48-29 IN LAST 77 PHI ML PICKS

    Season Splits

    29-32, -887 ML
    36-25, +103 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    55%
    98-80, +4
    116-58, +1610
    66%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    50%
    45-44, -21
    60-27, +411
    69%
    As Underdog or Even
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    48%
    34-36, +617
    102-45, +1318
    69%
    When Line was +112 to +142
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was -164 to -134
    57%
    15-11, +753
    31-11, +985
    73%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    47%
    23-25, +423
    59-25, +493
    70%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    50%
    44-44, +211
    37-14, +1633
    72%
    vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
    39%
    23-35, -675
    26-16, +15
    61%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    63%
    17-10, +647
    20-7, +673
    74%
    vs HOU
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs PHI
    37%
    3-5, -153
    5-3, +19
    62%
    when Zack Wheeler starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Framber Valdez starts
    54%
    17-14, -201
    24-10, +373
    70%