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Fri 09/30 | 11:20 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Mets 102-62, +822 ML
NYM -1.5+150
NYM -120
Over 6.5-110
Atlanta Braves 102-63, -19 ML
ATL +1.5-178
ATL +100
Under 6.5-110

Expert Picks

MLB | N.Y. Mets 2 @ Atlanta 5 | 09/30 | 11:20 PM UTC

N.Y. Mets -125

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Mets right-hander Jacob deGrom owns a 2.08 ERA in 27 career starts against Atlanta. He faces Atlanta’s Max Fried, who owns a 2.84 ERA in 20 appearances against the Mets. Over the last 10 days, the Mets are outhitting the Braves with a .259 average, as compared to Atlanta’s .249 average. The Mets are one game up on the Braves in the division. I’m on the Mets.

author-image

Bob Konarski

BurghBets
+375 5-1 IN LAST 6 ATL ML PICKS

Season Splits

102-62, +822 ML
102-63, -19 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
62%
98-58, +1031
97-59, -29
62%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
47-31, +674
52-26, +265
66%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
66%
79-40, +639
11-22, -1052
33%
When Line was -140 to -110
MONEY LINE
When Line was -109 to +121
64%
25-14, +581
10-15, -485
40%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
64%
33-18, +281
3-6, -293
33%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
56%
33-25, +424
29-27, -448
51%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
53%
17-15, +19
21-19, -186
52%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
69%
16-7, +447
14-6, +265
70%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
56%
9-7, +94
7-9, -293
43%
when Jacob deGrom starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Max Fried starts
60%
6-4, -163
19-10, +149
65%