ANALYSIS: The Rays have star young shortstop Wander Franco back in the lineup from a long IL stint -- which swayed me to make this pick -- while the Yankees' lineup remains Aaron Judge and a bunch of flotsam due to injuries and Jose Trevino landing on the paternity list. The starting pitching matchup also favors Tampa with Drew Rasmussen, who hasn't allowed more than two ER since the break, against Frankie Montas. The Yanks have played three games in the past two days so their bullpen is a bit taxed. The Rays were off Thursday. The AL East race is on with a Rays victory.