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Mon 08/15 | 11:40 PM UTC | Minneapolis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Kansas City Royals 63-93, -1544 ML
KC +1.5-125
KC +158
Over 8-120
Minnesota Twins 76-80, -1847 ML
MIN -1.5+105
MIN -190
Under 8+100

Expert Picks

MLB | Kansas City 2 @ Minnesota 4 | 08/15 | 11:40 PM UTC

Minnesota -190

WIN

ANALYSIS: Twins pitcher Joe Ryan has been roughed up in two of his past three outings but those were away -- he's 4-2 with a 2.92 ERA at home and has a 0.77 ERA in two starts overall against Kansas City this year. Regulars Hunter Dozier and Michael Taylor are both out of the KC lineup. It's Kris Bubic (2-6, 5.02 ERA) on the mound for the Royals. Byron Buxton and Jorge Polanco have great splits off him. Twins batters are hitting .289 with 15 doubles, three triples, seven home runs, 42 walks and 48 runs scored against the Royals this season. They have recorded double-digit hit totals in five straight against KC.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+5228 345-202-1 IN LAST 548 MLB PICKS
+867 24-10 IN LAST 34 MIN ML PICKS

Season Splits

63-93, -1544 ML
76-80, -1847 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
41%
48-68, -785
58-55, -723
51%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
35%
19-34, -495
31-25, -327
55%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
39%
37-57, -566
40-25, +48
61%
When Line was +145 to +175
MONEY LINE
When Line was -206 to -176
38%
7-11, -13
4-3, -89
57%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
35%
18-33, -482
25-13, +193
65%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
48%
18-19, +453
30-20, -129
60%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
48%
32-34, +344
31-30, -704
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
37%
34-58, -1340
46-37, +76
55%
vs MIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KC
40%
4-6, -85
6-4, +18
60%
when Kris Bubic starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Joe Ryan starts
38%
7-11, -230
11-7, -6
61%