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Fri 08/12 | 11:10 PM UTC | Flushing
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Philadelphia Phillies 87-73, -458 ML
PHI +1.5-105
PHI +205
Over 7-105
N.Y. Mets 98-61, +731 ML
NYM -1.5-115
NYM -250
Under 7-115

Expert Picks

MLB | Philadelphia 2 @ N.Y. Mets 1 | 08/12 | 11:10 PM UTC

Philadelphia +158

WIN

ANALYSIS: My numbers see the Phillies winning outright more than half the time Friday against the Mets, providing a massive overlay on the juicy underdog. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez is 6-1 with a 2.87 ERA in nine road starts this season. Mets ace Max Scherzer has just a 4.24 ERA in three starts against Philadelphia this year. He has given up 20 hits and 8 earned runs in 17 innings.

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Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
+1260 41-34 IN LAST 75 NYM ML PICKS
+535 12-7 IN LAST 19 PHI ML PICKS

Season Splits

87-73, -458 ML
98-61, +731 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
62-49, +318
73-39, +1486
65%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
30-23, +687
38-18, +664
67%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
21-21, +560
59-25, +1244
70%
When Line was +181 to +211
MONEY LINE
When Line was -253 to -223
50%
1-1, +86
3-2, -78
60%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
53%
16-14, +610
34-14, +679
70%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
50%
27-26, +170
25-17, +530
59%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
40%
13-19, -294
18-7, +651
72%
3rd game without a day off
REST
After a Day Off
56%
47-36, +382
14-3, +781
82%
vs NYM
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PHI
25%
3-9, -584
9-3, +480
75%
when Ranger Suarez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Max Scherzer starts
68%
13-6, +588
11-4, +313
73%