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Fri 07/01 | 10:05 PM UTC | Washington
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Miami Marlins 50-65, -1898 ML
MIA +1.5-190
MIA +110
Over 9-115
Washington Nationals 38-78, -2196 ML
WAS -1.5+158
WAS -130
Under 9-105

Expert Picks

MLB | Miami 6 @ Washington 3 | 07/01 | 10:05 PM UTC

Washington -134

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I was going to do some Fondue (I believe should be capitalized) tonight, but the Red Sox just irritated my bowels so cheese won't help. Unbelievable. I was pretty darn sure on that one. Ah, July baseball. So here we are. No Jazz Chisholm as we know for the Marlins and now Jorge Soler is out. Miami averages about 1.5 runs fewer with the Jazz (name your favorite jazz band or even have one and I will either send you a T-shirt or block you on Twitter). Pitching matchup favors the Nats with Josiah Gray. I'm just still irked so this may be an impulse play.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2973 281-173 IN LAST 454 MLB PICKS
+376 9-4 IN LAST 13 MIA ML PICKS
+1191 16-3 IN LAST 19 WAS ML PICKS

Season Splits

50-65, -1898 ML
38-78, -2196 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
45%
34-40, -830
29-49, -1129
37%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
38%
15-24, -729
14-27, -1160
34%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
32%
14-29, -1160
7-5, +47
58%
When Line was -110 to +120
MONEY LINE
When Line was -138 to -108
35%
6-11, -489
5-5, -88
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
32%
10-21, -807
7-4, +147
63%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
60%
15-10, +115
10-14, -452
41%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
60%
23-15, +438
19-17, +499
52%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
36%
4-7, -389
5-5, +23
50%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
88%
8-1, +404
1-8, -640
11%
when Trevor Rogers starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Josiah Gray starts
28%
4-10, -633
7-7, +198
50%