I don't recommend betting against the Astros at home often, but as I expected both Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena are out of the lineup (see news feed) after they collided on Wednesday -- plus, remember, Michael Brantley is on the injured list. The Yankees clearly have the better lineup today and also should have the "Luis" pitching edge with Severino over Garcia.

No Michael Brantley, Jeremy Pena, or Yordan Alvarez today for the Astros. This is a weird one game series so the only thing that worries me is the Yankees resting players or flying twice in two days. However, Luis Garcia is 3-2 with a 5.18 ERA at home this season and the Astros bullpen couldn't get a save for the life of them against the Yankees last series. Luis Severino just pitched a quality start against the Astros but will have a watered down lineup tonight. Im not going to overthink this one.