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Thu 06/30 | 10:05 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Braves 102-63, -19 ML
ATL +1.5-170
ATL +130
Over 8.5+100
Philadelphia Phillies 98-80, +4 ML
PHI -1.5+143
PHI -155
Under 8.5-120

Expert Picks

MLB | Atlanta 4 @ Philadelphia 14 | 06/30 | 10:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia -160

WIN

ANALYSIS: I like the Phillies to avoid the home sweep here behind their ace. Aaron Nola has looked like himself again and the Phillies have their full bullpen available. Kenley Jansen is still unavailable for the Braves and Ian Anderson is coming off a tough start. He should struggle again against a Phillies team that has seen him in division play. He also has multiple walks in seven of his last eight games. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see the Braves give a player or two the day off. Take the Phillies at home.

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+1223 208-166 IN LAST 374 MLB ML PICKS
+1913 59-35 IN LAST 94 ATL ML PICKS
+556 46-35 IN LAST 81 PHI ML PICKS

Season Splits

102-63, -19 ML
98-80, +4 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
57%
44-32, -259
39-37, -261
51%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
57%
20-15, +40
19-19, -585
50%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
36%
8-14, -579
25-21, -459
54%
When Line was +114 to +144
MONEY LINE
When Line was -166 to -136
50%
2-2, +48
4-11, -838
26%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
43%
7-9, -172
17-13, -240
56%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
63%
7-4, +88
21-23, -168
47%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
68%
22-10, +267
11-8, +168
57%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
57%
32-24, -292
30-28, -55
51%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
66%
4-2, +101
2-4, -233
33%
when Ian Anderson starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Aaron Nola starts
64%
9-5, +173
6-9, -468
40%