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Fri 06/24 | 10:40 PM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Mets 50-31, +785 ML
NYM +1.5-190
NYM +120
Over 7-115
Miami Marlins 39-40, -398 ML
MIA -1.5+160
MIA -140
Under 7-105

Expert Picks

N.Y. Mets 5 @ Miami 3 | 06/24 | 10:40 PM UTC

Miami -145

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Ive been going back and forth on this game all day. I don’t mind a F5 play instead of the full game ML because I think the Marlins bullpen could blow it, but they have been pitching well the past couple series. Sandy Alcantara is the most dominant pitcher in the Majors right now and you know he’ll go deep in the game. The Mets are a little bit worse on the road at 21-16 while the Marlins are 18-14 at home. Taijuan Walker has been very good as well but the Marlins were 7-2 at home against the Mets last season. They have their ace going tonight so that minimizes their bullpen usage and the Mets just lost two straight games on the road. I like the Marlins at home.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+828 179-148 IN LAST 327 MLB ML PICKS
+1646 51-29 IN LAST 80 MIA ML PICKS
+2242 38-18 IN LAST 56 NYM ML PICKS

Season Splits

50-31, +785 ML
39-40, -398 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
63%
45-26, +916
32-36, -628
47%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
21-16, +303
18-14, -24
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
47%
10-11, +81
19-10, +355
65%
When Line was +100 to +130
MONEY LINE
When Line was -143 to -113
41%
5-7, -120
10-5, +271
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
43%
7-9, -9
15-7, +352
68%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
58%
7-5, +40
12-13, +20
48%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
62%
22-13, +339
2-12, -977
14%
After a Day Off
REST
3rd game without a day off
90%
9-1, +556
22-25, -368
46%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
75%
3-1, +86
1-3, -179
25%
when Taijuan Walker starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Sandy Alcantara starts
54%
6-5, +19
9-5, +232
64%