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Fri 06/24 | 1:40 AM UTC | San Diego
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Philadelphia Phillies 98-80, +4 ML
PHI +1.5-160
PHI +135
Over 7-105
San Diego Padres 95-78, -307 ML
SD -1.5+140
SD -155
Under 7-115

Expert Picks

MLB | Philadelphia 6 @ San Diego 2 | 06/24 | 1:40 AM UTC

Philadelphia +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Four experts on San Diego, and I get it with Cy Young favorite Joe Musgrove (8-0, 1.59) on the mound. He's also just off the COVID list so maybe he's not quite 100 percent. Not a big Ranger Suarez fan for the Phils, but they clearly have the better lineup as the Padres remain without Manny Machado and are resting Luke Voit and Jake Cronenworth. Really, this is me Heisman stiff-arming the SportsLine Curse the other four are facing with a runline play that is the same price as Padres ML. Ideally, the Friars win by a run and we all cash. The Phils tend to play to their level of competition ...

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+6018 368-212-1 IN LAST 581 MLB PICKS
+1397 25-8 IN LAST 33 PHI ATS PICKS
+800 16-7 IN LAST 23 SD ATS PICKS

Season Splits

98-80, +4 ML
95-78, -307 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
51%
36-34, -345
44-27, +834
62%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
17-17, +40
20-13, +47
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
42%
11-15, -86
28-18, -55
60%
When Line was +130 to +160
MONEY LINE
When Line was -185 to -155
50%
2-2, +83
11-4, +248
73%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
47%
9-10, +159
16-10, -47
61%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
47%
18-20, -252
11-3, +620
78%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
37%
9-15, -400
29-14, +741
67%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
50%
27-27, -339
34-21, +694
61%
vs SD
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PHI
33%
1-2, -133
2-1, +86
66%
when Ranger Suarez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Joe Musgrove starts
61%
8-5, +214
11-1, +749
91%