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Thu 06/23 | 11:05 PM UTC | Bronx
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Houston Astros 53-27, +935 ML
HOU +1.5-170
HOU +115
Over 8-115
N.Y. Yankees 58-23, +1099 ML
NYY -1.5+145
NYY -135
Under 8-105

Expert Picks

Houston 6 @ N.Y. Yankees 7 | 06/23 | 11:05 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -125

WIN

ANALYSIS: Are the Astros good enough to beat the Yankees? No question, but the Yankees perhaps like beating the Astros even more than the Red Sox these days because New Yorkers think Houston stole potential World Series titles in 2017 and '19 with that cheating scandal -- the Astros beat the Yankees in the ALCS in both years. Of course, the Bombers aren't exactly non-cheaters themselves. Jameson Taillon (8-1, 2.70 ERA) has become one of the AL's top pitchers for NYY and is 4-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 33 strikeouts over his past six starts. It's Framber Valdez for Houston and while he's excellent, New York is 16-7 vs. southpaws.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1751 206-129 IN LAST 335 MLB PICKS
+707 30-15 IN LAST 45 HOU ML PICKS

Season Splits

53-27, +935 ML
58-23, +1099 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
63%
43-25, +347
51-18, +1263
73%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
62%
23-14, +333
29-7, +823
80%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
41%
5-7, -185
47-17, +886
73%
When Line was -103 to +127
MONEY LINE
When Line was -146 to -116
57%
4-3, +123
10-2, +568
83%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
5-5, +15
29-7, +823
80%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
60%
9-6, +88
19-7, +729
73%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
76%
10-3, +459
12-2, +441
85%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
68%
33-15, +577
38-15, +840
71%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs HOU
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
when Framber Valdez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jameson Taillon starts
61%
8-5, -24
11-2, +588
84%