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Expert Picks
MLB | Miami 1 @ Philadelphia 3 | 06/15 | 5:05 PM UTC
Philadelphia -159
WIN
ANALYSIS: I swear I am a glutton for punishment. Why I would go back to the stupid Phillies is mystifying. Just absolutely in shock they blew last night's game. But if they can't beat Marlins Triple-A callup Daniel Castano today (basically a bullpen day) then a higher power is clearly telling me to stop betting and I'm gonna listen. At least Phils interim manager Rob Thomson has demoted closer Corey Knebel. Makes me feel slightly better about today.
Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Season Splits
49-59, -1435 ML
60-48, +296 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
45%
28-33, -646
32-31, -293
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
40%
13-19, -425
19-17, -385
52%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
34%
12-23, -804
21-17, -307
55%
When Line was +136 to +166
MONEY LINE
When Line was -191 to -161
33%
2-4, -128
4-3, -70
57%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
36%
9-16, -428
17-12, -140
58%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
29%
5-12, -663
9-1, +526
90%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
57%
20-15, +241
11-6, +368
64%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
42%
18-24, -586
23-26, -487
46%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
57%
4-3, +116
3-4, -150
42%
when Daniel Castano starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Kyle Gibson starts
0%
0-1, -100
8-5, +241
61%