Drew Rasmussen is actually coming off probably his worst outing of his career, but that was against the Rangers when their bats were red hot. The White Sox were shut down by Shane McClanahan last night and they should continue to struggle against the righty today. Dylan Cease is coming off a very good start, but he did walk four batters and he has been very inconsistent lately. He also has multiple walks in all but one of his outings this season. The Rays are still without Wander Franco and they lose their best reliever to the IL too in JP Feyereisen, but being the Rays, they have a couple other dominant relievers who have closed before. I like the Rays at home.

These teams are heading in opposite directions. The Rays have won three in a row and beat the White Sox 6-3 on Friday night. Meanwhile Chicago has lost four in a row and six of seven. The White Sox have given up 27 total runs over their last four games. My model says Tampa Bay wins about two-thirds of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number. I'm on the Rays.