Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
After suffering another embarrassing loss last night, the Nats are now 5-16 at home. Their offense has not been able to figure it out in their home park this season, where they score an average of 2.71 runs per game. The Dodgers are 6-2 behind Walker Buehler this season, and I expect him to hold down the Nats. Josiah Gray has been worse at home and struggled lately, so I expect that to continue against his former team. All but three of the Dodgers' 28 wins have come by two or more runs. Back the Dodgers -1.5 (-130).
I wasn't going to play the Dodgers here because MLB runs scored leader and red-hot Mookie Betts was supposed to get tonight off per Manager Dave Roberts. Instead, Roberts is resting Cody Bellinger, who is way less important (Justin Turner is also in the lineup after getting Monday off). Now, I'll roll the dice even at this price behind Dodgers ace Walker Buehler, who is 3-0 with a 1.29 road ERA. Washington's Josiah Gray, acquired from the Dodgers last year, is 1-3 with a 6.43 ERA at home. If you bump this down to Dodgers -1, you save about 35 cents.