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Thu 05/12 | 10:35 PM UTC | Pittsburgh
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cincinnati Reds 27-51, -1721 ML
CIN +1.5-170
CIN +115
Over 8-120
Pittsburgh Pirates 32-47, -398 ML
PIT -1.5+145
PIT -135
Under 8+100

Expert Picks

Cincinnati 4 @ Pittsburgh 0 | 05/12 | 10:35 PM UTC

OVER 8

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Pirates just took two of three from the Dodgers, scoring five runs in each of the two wins, which is double the amount the Dodgers allow per game. Their bullpen did an amazing job on one of the best lineups in MLB. But five of their last seven games have gone Over, including all three at Cincinnati last week. The Reds have gone Over in 10 straight. The wind is blowing in, and both starters had good outings against each other last week but the Pittsburgh bullpen caved. Back the Over again.

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Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
+1505 45-29 IN LAST 74 MLB PICKS
+445 8-3 IN LAST 11 CIN O/U PICKS
+828 23-14-1 IN LAST 38 PIT O/U PICKS

Season Splits

27-51, -1721 ML
32-47, -398 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
22%
7-24, -1466
13-17, -20
43%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
11%
2-15, -1197
7-8, +82
46%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
21%
6-22, -1338
3-2, +40
60%
When Line was -104 to +126
MONEY LINE
When Line was -146 to -116
20%
1-4, -298
2-2, -47
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
11%
2-15, -1197
2-1, +64
66%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
66%
2-1, +74
3-3, +30
50%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
14%
2-12, -1026
10-8, +331
55%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
25%
5-15, -820
9-10, +197
47%
vs PIT
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CIN
66%
2-1, +74
1-2, -124
33%
when Connor Overton starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when JT Brubaker starts
50%
1-1, +2
3-3, +49
50%