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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
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The Pirates just took two of three from the Dodgers, scoring five runs in each of the two wins, which is double the amount the Dodgers allow per game. Their bullpen did an amazing job on one of the best lineups in MLB. But five of their last seven games have gone Over, including all three at Cincinnati last week. The Reds have gone Over in 10 straight. The wind is blowing in, and both starters had good outings against each other last week but the Pittsburgh bullpen caved. Back the Over again.
I might be a little late on this Reds over trend but with their bats heating up, I see no reason not to ride it. They have the worst bullpen in the league, and when you combine that with the 6th best wOBA in the league against righties in the past two weeks, you’ll get runs. Connor Overton pitched really well in his first two starts but he faced the Pirates lineup five days ago and that gives the advantage to the hitters. JT Brubaker pitched well against the Reds last time around too but the Reds hitters get a second look at him in a week. The Pirates also have the fifth worst bullpen in the league. Take the over.
Now, 10 straight Reds games have gone over eight. We saw these teams play three games in Cincinnati last week and all three went over. In the first game of that series, we saw this exact pitching matchup with Connor Overton and JT Brubaker that ended the Reds' long losing streak with a nine-run game. The Reds have since scored a total of 40 runs in their five most recent games. Cincinnati and Pittsburgh allow their opponents more runs than any other teams in the league, so I'll take this over eight at a nice +105.