loading...
Mon 04/11 | 6:10 PM UTC | Kansas City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cleveland Guardians 96-72, +1618 ML
CLE +1.5-220
CLE -115
Over 8.5+105
Kansas City Royals 65-96, -1522 ML
KC -1.5+180
KC -105
Under 8.5-125

Expert Picks

MLB | Cleveland 10 @ Kansas City 7 | 04/11 | 6:10 PM UTC

Kansas City +1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: You ever notice how a game after a team goes offensively bananas that it usually struggles? I'm counting on that for the Indians, err Guardians (this is going to take a while to get used to), after they hung 17 runs on the Royals Sunday. It's Carlos Hernandez on the bump for the Royals. He was 6-2 in 2021 with a 3.68 ERA and will be his his first career start vs. Cleveland after making his MLB debut vs. the Guardians with 3.2 scoreless innings in relief in 2020. Cleveland's Aaron Civale had a 5.73 ERA in two starts last year vs. KC. A handful of Royals have nice splits against him. I was waiting on this to flip to Kansas City +1.5 on the runline and it has temporarily. So I'll pay the tax of -175 before it perhaps flips back to Cleveland +1.5.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+6018 368-212-1 IN LAST 581 MLB PICKS
+600 7-1 IN LAST 8 KC ATS PICKS

Season Splits

96-72, +1618 ML
65-96, -1522 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
2-2, -14
2-2, -13
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
2-2, -14
2-2, -13
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
50%
1-1, -13
1-1, +5
50%
When Line was -130 to -100
MONEY LINE
When Line was -119 to +111
66%
2-1, +86
1-2, -95
33%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
1-1, -13
1-1, +5
50%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
66%
2-1, +86
2-2, -13
50%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
50%
2-2, -14
2-2, -13
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
100%
1-0, +87
0-1, -100
0%
vs KC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CLE
50%
2-2, -14
2-2, -13
50%
when Aaron Civale starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Carlos Hernandez starts
100%
1-0, +87
0-1, -100
0%