Rain might affect a part of this game but it should be played. I also think this total may drop to 8, so I'll jump now at 8.5. The Phillies are without All-Star catcher JT Realmuto (and of course lost Rhys Hoskins for the season last week). It's a pretty weak lineup other than Bryce Harper, and young Nats right-hander Josiah Gray has a 2.89 ERA since being acquired from the Dodgers. Phils ace Zack Wheeler should be able to hold that meh Washington lineup to just a few runs. This feels like a 4-3 maybe 5-3 game, so Under it is.

The Nationals have lost six of their last eight and 18 of their last 24. Josiah Gray gets the ball Monday and he's been great for the Nets since being acquired in the Scherzer/Turner trade, pitching to a 2.89 ERA in five starts. That's why we get good odds here with the better team and Zack Wheeler. Sure, Gray might pitch well, but he hasn't gone deeper than six innings and the Nationals have a 6.22 bullpen ERA since the All-Star break. Wheeler has been bad in his last three starts, but this is a soft landing as the Nationals don't have a productive offense anymore. He'll bounce back.