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Mon 08/02 | 11:05 PM UTC | Washington
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Philadelphia Phillies 52-53, -188 ML
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Over 8.5-115
Washington Nationals 49-56, -749 ML
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Under 8.5-105

Expert Picks

Philadelphia 7 @ Washington 5 | 08/02 | 11:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia -115

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Nationals' roster was gutted at the trade deadline and they are trotting out RHP Josiah Gray, who just came over from the Los Angeles Dodgers. He's allowed four home runs in eight major-league innings, and this will be his second career start. Philadelphia is going with a closer-turned-starter in LHP Ranger Suarez. I expect him to work two or three innings before turning this into a bullpen battle. Neither of these bullpens have been all that great, but the Nationals' has been worse, and they just traded Daniel Hudson and Brad Hand while the Phillies acquired Ian Kennedy. There's value in taking the team that is still in the postseason race. Back the Phillies.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+98 7-4 IN LAST 11 MLB PICKS
+195 3-1 IN LAST 4 PHI ML PICKS
+79 2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS ML PICKS

Season Splits

52-53, -188 ML
49-56, -749 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
49%
52-53, -189
49-56, -750
46%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
39%
21-32, -839
29-26, -212
52%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
54%
26-22, -343
24-40, -958
37%
When Line was -136 to -106
MONEY LINE
When Line was -105 to +125
50%
13-13, -247
13-21, -750
38%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
33%
5-10, -657
9-15, -552
37%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
52%
21-19, +92
15-23, -615
39%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
48%
22-23, -439
26-26, -343
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
50%
36-35, +151
37-39, -464
48%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PHI
50%
6-6, -98
6-6, +43
50%
when Ranger Suarez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Josiah Gray starts
0-0, 0
0-0, 0