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Fri 07/09 | 12:10 AM UTC | Minneapolis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Detroit Tigers 40-47, +1082 ML
DET +1.5
DET +125
Over 9.5
Minnesota Twins 35-50, -2056 ML
MIN -1.5
MIN -135
Under 9.5

Expert Picks

Detroit 3 @ Minnesota 5 | 07/09 | 12:10 AM UTC

Minnesota -125

WIN

ANALYSIS: Minnesota will welcome back third baseman Josh Donaldson in the lineup; he hadn't played since Saturday. That's not the lone reason why I'll back the Twins, but they do crush left-handed pitching, leading the majors with 42 homers off them and ranking No. 2 in slugging. Tigers lefty Tarik Skubal (5-7, 4.35) is a promising young pitcher but has been considerably worse on the road and at night. Minnesota is 7-2 in its past nine as a favorite.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3802 97-46-4 IN LAST 147 MLB PICKS
+264 5-2 IN LAST 7 MIN ML PICKS

Season Splits

40-47, +1082 ML
35-50, -2056 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
46%
40-47, +1082
35-50, -2056
41%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
43%
19-25, +500
18-25, -1068
41%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
45%
36-43, +1148
22-26, -1124
45%
When Line was +105 to +135
MONEY LINE
When Line was -145 to -115
46%
13-15, +88
11-13, -456
45%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
43%
19-25, +500
12-17, -945
41%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
42%
6-8, +17
11-11, -301
50%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
51%
23-22, +776
26-33, -1337
44%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
42%
27-37, +384
26-33, -1098
44%
vs MIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DET
40%
2-3, 0
3-2, -10
60%
when Tarik Skubal starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when J.A. Happ starts
46%
7-8, +183
7-8, -146
46%