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Wed 07/07 | 4:10 PM UTC | St. Petersburg
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cleveland Indians 42-42, -406 ML
CLE +1.5
CLE +143
Over 7
Tampa Bay Rays 51-36, +948 ML
TB -1.5
TB -153
Under 7

Expert Picks

Cleveland 1 @ Tampa Bay 8 | 07/07 | 4:10 PM UTC

Tampa Bay -153

WIN

ANALYSIS: Game 1 of a doubleheader so scheduled for seven innings. The Indians are down two injured regulars in outfielders Josh Naylor and Eddie Rosario, both on the IL. Since May 13, the Rays are 17-4 (.810) at home, best in the majors over that stretch. Frankly, the pitching matchup here between JC Mejia (1-3, 6.18) and Michael Wacha (1-2, 5.26) is basically a wash, but Mejia has been worse on the road and Cleveland is on a seven-game skid. Odd stat: It's the fifth doubleheader in Tropicana Field history, and the Rays are 0-0-4 in the previous four.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3772 92-43-4 IN LAST 139 MLB PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 TB ML PICKS
+259 5-2 IN LAST 7 CLE ML PICKS

Season Splits

42-42, -406 ML
51-36, +948 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
51%
42-40, -208
49-36, +833
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
21-21, +55
24-16, +168
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
42%
17-23, -210
29-17, +237
63%
When Line was +128 to +158
MONEY LINE
When Line was -168 to -138
41%
5-7, +7
11-5, +238
68%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
12-12, +311
19-9, +297
67%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
50%
12-12, -74
16-14, +8
53%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
14%
2-12, -917
29-22, +164
56%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
43%
7-9, -375
6-6, -161
50%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CLE
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +53
100%
when Jean Carlos Mejia starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Michael Wacha starts
33%
2-4, -170
6-3, +307
66%