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Mon 06/14 | 11:05 PM UTC | Washington
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Pittsburgh Pirates 23-41, -868 ML
PIT +1.5
PIT +115
Over 9
Washington Nationals 27-35, -833 ML
WAS -1.5
WAS -125
Under 9

Expert Picks

Pittsburgh 2 @ Washington 3 | 06/14 | 11:05 PM UTC

Washington -120

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I'm fairly shocked that Washington, despite being a big disappointment, is only -120 at home against a terrible Pirates team. Pittsburgh is starting its best pitcher in JT Brubaker (4-5, 3.90), but he has given up 15 runs across his past four outings after a 2.58 ERA in his first seven. Nats lefty Jon Lester (0-2, 4.19) isn't great these days but still good enough to beat a Pittsburgh lineup that is 18-44 in its past 62 vs. southpaws.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2106 27-6-1 IN LAST 34 MLB PICKS
+800 8-0 IN LAST 8 PIT ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 WAS ML PICKS

Season Splits

23-41, -868 ML
27-35, -833 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
35%
23-41, -868
27-35, -833
43%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
31%
10-22, -561
15-17, -492
46%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
32%
19-39, -1005
14-10, -44
58%
When Line was -105 to +125
MONEY LINE
When Line was -136 to -106
46%
7-8, -42
4-6, -250
40%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
31%
10-22, -561
11-8, -49
57%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
60%
9-6, +462
12-9, -30
57%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
0%
0-11, -1100
17-20, -569
45%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
35%
15-27, -388
19-23, -624
45%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PIT
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
when JT Brubaker starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jon Lester starts
36%
4-7, -290
3-5, -172
37%